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Tursku je nedavno pogodio katastrofalan potres koji je do sada već odnio više od 17 tisuća ljudskih života samo u toj državi, a Svjetska zdravstvena organizacija (SZO) donosi procjene da bi na kraju broj poginulih mogao biti veći i od 20 tisuća ljudi.

U ovoj posljednjoj prirodnoj katastrofi porušeno je nekoliko tisuća zgrada, koje su se, ne zanemarivši činjenicu da je potres bio jačine 7,8 stupnjeva rušile kao “kule od karata”, jer su očigledno bile lošije gradnje i upitno je, jesu li se u njihovoj gradnji poštivali svi građevinski standardi.

Očaj stanovništva

Trenutačna katastrofalna situacija u velikom dijelu Turske, uzrokovana potresom i početak negodovanja tamošnjeg stanovništva, kao i očaj u koji su ljudi zapali nikako ne idu na ruku Recep Tayyip Erdoganu, predsjedniku Turske i njegovoj AKP stranci koji vladaju Turskom.

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Turski predsjednik Recep Tayyip Erdogan na stratištu razornog potresa

Afp
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Očaj stanovništva sve je jači u pokrajini Hatay, najteže pogođenom području u potresnoj zoni Turske. Veliki broj ljudi je ostao bez krova nad glavom, nemaju dovoljne količine hrane ni vode, a pomoć kasni za što je, vrlo vjerojatno najviše kriva infrastruktura koja je u dobroj mjeri potresom i uništena.

- Sigurno da takva situacija ne odgovara Erdoganu i njegovoj stranci. Međutim, morate znati da je on apsolutni vladar u Turskoj i da i nema baš neku oporbu, odnosno protukandidata iz redova oporbe koji bi ga mogao pobijediti na sljedećim predsjedničkim izborima.

Ti izbori su u svibnju ove godine. Prvotno su trebali biti u lipnju, no političkom odlukom koja je donesena prije potresa izbori su prebačeni za svibanj. Kao glavni razlog “ranijih” izbora treba potražiti u želji Erdogana i vladajuće stranke da onemogući oporbu nekog ozbiljnijeg političkog angažmana oko predsjedničkih izbora - kaže Vedran Obućina, politolog specijaliziran za Bliski istok.

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Vedran Obućina

Paun Paunović/Cropix
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Mnogi Turci unesrećeni u potresu već govore protiv turskog predsjednika i prozivaju ga za lošu i manjkavu pomoć.

Nemoćna oporba

- Oporba u Turskoj baš i nije zagrižena da smijeni Erdogana s vlasti, oporbi su važniji parlamentarni izbori. Mišljenja sam da oporba, ako Erdoganova reakcija na potres ne bude primjerena, ne može pobijediti na parlamentarnim izborima, ali svakako može znatno ojačati. I upravo će reakcija Erdogana, kada je u pitanju pomoć nakon potresa, biti od presudne važnosti za njegov daljnji politički život - kaže Obućina.

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Slike užasa iz Hataya

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- Ako Turska, odnosno Erdogan ne pruže dobro upravljanje i oporavljanje stanovništva na pogođenim područjima, Erdoganova politička budućnost mogla bi doći u pitanje i on bi u političkom smislu mogao biti ozbiljno uzdrman.

S druge strane veliki plus za Erdogana je u tome što sve odluke donosi on osobno, Vlada i njegova stranka, tako da oporba i kada bi htjela ne može ništa napraviti. Stoga, ako vladajući ulože velike napore u oporavak stanovništva, mogu dobiti veliki broj glasova birača. Naravno, oporba može ojačati ako Erdogan ne reagira kako je trebao - zaključuje Vedran Obućina.

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AFP

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Slike užasa iz Hataya

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Vedran Obućina

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Turski predsjednik Recep Tayyip Erdogan na stratištu razornog potresa

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Tursku je nedavno pogodio katastrofalan potres koji je do sada već odnio više od 17 tisuća ljudskih života samo u toj državi, a Svjetska zdravstvena organizacija (SZO) donosi procjene da bi na kraju broj poginulih mogao biti veći i od 20 tisuća ljudi.

U ovoj posljednjoj prirodnoj katastrofi porušeno je nekoliko tisuća zgrada, koje su se, ne zanemarivši činjenicu da je potres bio jačine 7,8 stupnjeva rušile kao “kule od karata”, jer su očigledno bile lošije gradnje i upitno je, jesu li se u njihovoj gradnji poštivali svi građevinski standardi.

Očaj stanovništva

Trenutačna katastrofalna situacija u velikom dijelu Turske, uzrokovana potresom i početak negodovanja tamošnjeg stanovništva, kao i očaj u koji su ljudi zapali nikako ne idu na ruku Recep Tayyip Erdoganu, predsjedniku Turske i njegovoj AKP stranci koji vladaju Turskom.

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Turski predsjednik Recep Tayyip Erdogan na stratištu razornog potresa

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Očaj stanovništva sve je jači u pokrajini Hatay, najteže pogođenom području u potresnoj zoni Turske. Veliki broj ljudi je ostao bez krova nad glavom, nemaju dovoljne količine hrane ni vode, a pomoć kasni za što je, vrlo vjerojatno najviše kriva infrastruktura koja je u dobroj mjeri potresom i uništena.

- Sigurno da takva situacija ne odgovara Erdoganu i njegovoj stranci. Međutim, morate znati da je on apsolutni vladar u Turskoj i da i nema baš neku oporbu, odnosno protukandidata iz redova oporbe koji bi ga mogao pobijediti na sljedećim predsjedničkim izborima.

Ti izbori su u svibnju ove godine. Prvotno su trebali biti u lipnju, no političkom odlukom koja je donesena prije potresa izbori su prebačeni za svibanj. Kao glavni razlog “ranijih” izbora treba potražiti u želji Erdogana i vladajuće stranke da onemogući oporbu nekog ozbiljnijeg političkog angažmana oko predsjedničkih izbora - kaže Vedran Obućina, politolog specijaliziran za Bliski istok.

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Vedran Obućina

Paun Paunović/Cropix
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Mnogi Turci unesrećeni u potresu već govore protiv turskog predsjednika i prozivaju ga za lošu i manjkavu pomoć.

Nemoćna oporba

- Oporba u Turskoj baš i nije zagrižena da smijeni Erdogana s vlasti, oporbi su važniji parlamentarni izbori. Mišljenja sam da oporba, ako Erdoganova reakcija na potres ne bude primjerena, ne može pobijediti na parlamentarnim izborima, ali svakako može znatno ojačati. I upravo će reakcija Erdogana, kada je u pitanju pomoć nakon potresa, biti od presudne važnosti za njegov daljnji politički život - kaže Obućina.

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Slike užasa iz Hataya

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- Ako Turska, odnosno Erdogan ne pruže dobro upravljanje i oporavljanje stanovništva na pogođenim područjima, Erdoganova politička budućnost mogla bi doći u pitanje i on bi u političkom smislu mogao biti ozbiljno uzdrman.

S druge strane veliki plus za Erdogana je u tome što sve odluke donosi on osobno, Vlada i njegova stranka, tako da oporba i kada bi htjela ne može ništa napraviti. Stoga, ako vladajući ulože velike napore u oporavak stanovništva, mogu dobiti veliki broj glasova birača. Naravno, oporba može ojačati ako Erdogan ne reagira kako je trebao - zaključuje Vedran Obućina.

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AFP Afp Paun Paunović/Cropix Afp AFP
AFP

AFP

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Slike užasa iz Hataya

Paun Paunović/Cropix

Vedran Obućina

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Turski predsjednik Recep Tayyip Erdogan na stratištu razornog potresa

AFP
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SvijetPOLITOLOG O TURSKOJ

Očaj stanovnika sve je jači, mogao bi uzdrmati i ‘apsolutnog vladara‘: Ovo će biti od presudne važnosti za Erdogana

Piše Ivica Marković
10. veljače 2023. - 12:12

Tursku je nedavno pogodio katastrofalan potres koji je do sada već odnio više od 17 tisuća ljudskih života samo u toj državi, a Svjetska zdravstvena organizacija (SZO) donosi procjene da bi na kraju broj poginulih mogao biti veći i od 20 tisuća ljudi.

U ovoj posljednjoj prirodnoj katastrofi porušeno je nekoliko tisuća zgrada, koje su se, ne zanemarivši činjenicu da je potres bio jačine 7,8 stupnjeva rušile kao “kule od karata”, jer su očigledno bile lošije gradnje i upitno je, jesu li se u njihovoj gradnji poštivali svi građevinski standardi.

Očaj stanovništva

Trenutačna katastrofalna situacija u velikom dijelu Turske, uzrokovana potresom i početak negodovanja tamošnjeg stanovništva, kao i očaj u koji su ljudi zapali nikako ne idu na ruku Recep Tayyip Erdoganu, ...

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16. svibanj 2024 01:30