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„Teško da ćemo ikada saznati odakle je potekao koronavirus. Velike države će sve napraviti da spriječe pristup istini kako ne bi narušile svoj imidž. SAD i Kina se oko toga sukobljavaju. Prvo je optužen laboratorij u Wuhanu da bi se saznalo da su neka istraživanja u tom laboratoriju financirali i Amerikanci. Trump je tvrdio da je Kina pustila virus. Da bi popravila svoj imidž, Kina je proširila priču da je virus nastao u vojnom laboratoriju u SAD-u. Vjerojatno ni jedno ni drugo nije potpuna istina“, kaže u emisiji Briefing geopolitički analitičar i stručnjak za međunarodnu sigurnost prof. dr. sc. Vlatko Cvrtila, rektor Sveučilišta Vern, piše Jutarnji.
On podsjeća kako strateški dokumenti SAD-a već 20 godina upozoravaju da će Kina postati veliki izazivač u ekonomskom i političkom smislu i da će pokušati smanjivati moć SAD-a, a niti jedan američki predsjednik to ne može dopustiti.
„U narednim desetljećima tu možemo očekivati puno tenzija, no pitanje je odgovara li i jednoj od te dvije države ratni sukob. Kina prijeti Tajvanu, no tamo se nalaze dva najveća proizvođača čipova na svijetu. Kada bi takva proizvodnja bila ugrožena, vratili bismo se u kameno doba jer ne bi bilo mobitela i kompjutora“, ističe Cvrtila koji smatra da je povlačenje iz Afganistana za SAD bio geopolitički potez jer više u toj zemlji ne troši milijarde. Tamo je poginulo 2500 američkih vojnika, a više od 20.000 ih je ranjeno.
„Sada će u mir u Afganistanu investirati druge države poput Kine i Rusije. Kina već ima kontakte s talibanima pretpostavljajući da će oni imati bitnu političku ulogu u Afganistanu koji ima neke veoma korisne rude i položaj na putu svile“, kaže Cvrtila. Prema njegovim riječima, Europa može očekivati veliki migrantski val s istoka i to ne samo iz Afganistana. Između 20 i 25 milijuna ljudi je trenutno u pokretu prema Europi.
„Turski predsjednik Erdogan je time dobio snažno strateško oružje jer uvijek može Europi zaprijetiti da će pustiti izbjeglice preko svojih granica kao što je učinio 2015. godine. Europa ne želi naljutiti Erdogana kao što je naljutila bjeloruskog predsjednika Lukašenka čija državna aviokompanija dovozi migrante u Bjelorusiju i pušta ih da idu u Litvu i druge baltičke države. Turska zbrinjava izbjeglice i zbog svojih interesa u postratnoj Siriji jer će joj ti Sirijci ostati lojalni i kada se vrate u Siriju“, kaže Cvrtila koji smatra da će čuvanje granice prema BiH i Srbiji od ilegalnih migranata još dosta dugo biti sve veći izazov za hrvatsku policiju.
„Prijetnje Milorada Dodika da će se Republika Srpska odcijepiti od BiH stvaraju neizvjesnu situaciju u cijeloj regiji. Kada na to naslonimo zadnju političku paradigmu srpskoga sveta koju promoviraju srbijanski ministar Aleksandar Vulin i neki intelektualci, vidimo da je to zapravo projekt velike Srbije koji se može postići samo silom. Cijela regija je zarobljenik nekoliko ljudi poput Dodika koji siju strah“, komentira Cvrtila.
Treba li Europa strahovati od novih terorističkih napada?
„Sigurno da. Iza tih napada ne stoje migranti, nego ljudi koji su rođeni u Europi i ovdje su se radikalizirali. To se neće promijeniti. U Europi i dalje postoje takve radikalizirane skupine i samo je pitanje vremena kada će se opet dogoditi neki napad“, tvrdi Vlatko Cvrtila.
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„Teško da ćemo ikada saznati odakle je potekao koronavirus. Velike države će sve napraviti da spriječe pristup istini kako ne bi narušile svoj imidž. SAD i Kina se oko toga sukobljavaju. Prvo je optužen laboratorij u Wuhanu da bi se saznalo da su neka istraživanja u tom laboratoriju financirali i Amerikanci. Trump je tvrdio da je Kina pustila virus. Da bi popravila svoj imidž, Kina je proširila priču da je virus nastao u vojnom laboratoriju u SAD-u. Vjerojatno ni jedno ni drugo nije potpuna istina“, kaže u emisiji Briefing geopolitički analitičar i stručnjak za međunarodnu sigurnost prof. dr. sc. Vlatko Cvrtila, rektor Sveučilišta Vern, piše Jutarnji.
On podsjeća kako strateški dokumenti SAD-a već 20 godina upozoravaju da će Kina postati veliki izazivač u ekonomskom i političkom smislu i da će pokušati smanjivati moć SAD-a, a niti jedan američki predsjednik to ne može dopustiti.
„U narednim desetljećima tu možemo očekivati puno tenzija, no pitanje je odgovara li i jednoj od te dvije države ratni sukob. Kina prijeti Tajvanu, no tamo se nalaze dva najveća proizvođača čipova na svijetu. Kada bi takva proizvodnja bila ugrožena, vratili bismo se u kameno doba jer ne bi bilo mobitela i kompjutora“, ističe Cvrtila koji smatra da je povlačenje iz Afganistana za SAD bio geopolitički potez jer više u toj zemlji ne troši milijarde. Tamo je poginulo 2500 američkih vojnika, a više od 20.000 ih je ranjeno.
„Sada će u mir u Afganistanu investirati druge države poput Kine i Rusije. Kina već ima kontakte s talibanima pretpostavljajući da će oni imati bitnu političku ulogu u Afganistanu koji ima neke veoma korisne rude i položaj na putu svile“, kaže Cvrtila. Prema njegovim riječima, Europa može očekivati veliki migrantski val s istoka i to ne samo iz Afganistana. Između 20 i 25 milijuna ljudi je trenutno u pokretu prema Europi.
„Turski predsjednik Erdogan je time dobio snažno strateško oružje jer uvijek može Europi zaprijetiti da će pustiti izbjeglice preko svojih granica kao što je učinio 2015. godine. Europa ne želi naljutiti Erdogana kao što je naljutila bjeloruskog predsjednika Lukašenka čija državna aviokompanija dovozi migrante u Bjelorusiju i pušta ih da idu u Litvu i druge baltičke države. Turska zbrinjava izbjeglice i zbog svojih interesa u postratnoj Siriji jer će joj ti Sirijci ostati lojalni i kada se vrate u Siriju“, kaže Cvrtila koji smatra da će čuvanje granice prema BiH i Srbiji od ilegalnih migranata još dosta dugo biti sve veći izazov za hrvatsku policiju.
„Prijetnje Milorada Dodika da će se Republika Srpska odcijepiti od BiH stvaraju neizvjesnu situaciju u cijeloj regiji. Kada na to naslonimo zadnju političku paradigmu srpskoga sveta koju promoviraju srbijanski ministar Aleksandar Vulin i neki intelektualci, vidimo da je to zapravo projekt velike Srbije koji se može postići samo silom. Cijela regija je zarobljenik nekoliko ljudi poput Dodika koji siju strah“, komentira Cvrtila.
Treba li Europa strahovati od novih terorističkih napada?
„Sigurno da. Iza tih napada ne stoje migranti, nego ljudi koji su rođeni u Europi i ovdje su se radikalizirali. To se neće promijeniti. U Europi i dalje postoje takve radikalizirane skupine i samo je pitanje vremena kada će se opet dogoditi neki napad“, tvrdi Vlatko Cvrtila.
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14. svibanj 2024 01:17
