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Međunarodni monetarni fond (MMF) snizio je u utorak procjenu rasta hrvatskog gospodarstva u ovoj godini na 4,7 posto, a u 2022. godini očekuje ubrzanje gospodarske aktivnosti i povratak na pretpandemijsku razinu.

U 2020. godini hrvatsko je gospodarstvo smanjeno 9,0 posto, potvrdio je MMF u redovnim proljetnim prognozama za svjetsko gospodarstvo (WEO) procjenu od prošle jeseni.

U 2022. godini aktivnosti bi po njihovim izračunima trebale porasti 5,0 posto, što bi značilo da bi hrvatsko gospodarstvo do kraja 2022. trebalo premašiti pretpandemijsku razinu.

Hrvatska se novim MMF-ovim procjenama svrstala među europska gospodarstva u nastajanju koja bi trebala bilježiti najviše stope rasta u ovoj i idućoj godini.

Višu stopu rasta trebale bi u 2021. godini bilježiti samo Turska i Rumunjska, od šest posto, i Srbija, od 5,0 posto. 

U 2022. godini samo bi Mađarska trebala bilježiti snažniji rast, od 5,7 posto, pokazuju MMF-ove nove procjene.

U skupini europskih gospodarstava u nastajanju aktivnosti bi ove godine trebale porasti 4,4 posto, za pola postotnog boda snažnije no što je MMF procijenio prošle jeseni. U 2022. rast bi trebao usporiti na 3,9 posto.     

Ublažena procjena manjka i nezaposlenosti

Manjak na tekućem računu platne bilance Hrvatske, iskazan udjelom u BDP-u, trebao bi ove godine iznositi 2,3 posto i biti manji za 0,8 postotnih bodova no što je MMF procijenio u listopadu.

U 2020. godini manjak je iznosio 3,5 posto, čime je međunarodni zajmodavac povisio procjenu manjka iz listopada za 0,3 postotna boda.

Iduće godine manjak na tekućem računu platne bilance Hrvatske trebao bi se po njima trebao spustiti na 1,6 posto.

Stopa nezaposlenosti u Hrvatskoj iznosit će ove godine 9,4 posto i biti osjetno manja no što je MMF predvidio prošle jeseni, procijenivši je na 10,3 posto.

U 2020. godini iznosila je 9,2 posto, čime je MMF snizio procjenu od prošle jeseni za 0,1 postotni bod.

U 2022. trebala bi kliznuti na 9,0 posto.

Potrošačke cijene trebale bi ove godine u Hrvatskoj porasti 0,7 posto, procjenjuje MMF. Na kraju prošle godine prognizirali su da će porasti 0,8 posto.

U 2020. godini stopa inflacije iznosila je 0,3 posto, u skladu s procjenama iz listopada.

U 2022. MMF očekuje znatno ubrzanje rasta potrošačkih cijena u Hrvatskoj, na 1,2 posto.
 

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Međunarodni monetarni fond (MMF) snizio je u utorak procjenu rasta hrvatskog gospodarstva u ovoj godini na 4,7 posto, a u 2022. godini očekuje ubrzanje gospodarske aktivnosti i povratak na pretpandemijsku razinu.

U 2020. godini hrvatsko je gospodarstvo smanjeno 9,0 posto, potvrdio je MMF u redovnim proljetnim prognozama za svjetsko gospodarstvo (WEO) procjenu od prošle jeseni.

U 2022. godini aktivnosti bi po njihovim izračunima trebale porasti 5,0 posto, što bi značilo da bi hrvatsko gospodarstvo do kraja 2022. trebalo premašiti pretpandemijsku razinu.

Hrvatska se novim MMF-ovim procjenama svrstala među europska gospodarstva u nastajanju koja bi trebala bilježiti najviše stope rasta u ovoj i idućoj godini.

Višu stopu rasta trebale bi u 2021. godini bilježiti samo Turska i Rumunjska, od šest posto, i Srbija, od 5,0 posto. 

U 2022. godini samo bi Mađarska trebala bilježiti snažniji rast, od 5,7 posto, pokazuju MMF-ove nove procjene.

U skupini europskih gospodarstava u nastajanju aktivnosti bi ove godine trebale porasti 4,4 posto, za pola postotnog boda snažnije no što je MMF procijenio prošle jeseni. U 2022. rast bi trebao usporiti na 3,9 posto.     

Ublažena procjena manjka i nezaposlenosti

Manjak na tekućem računu platne bilance Hrvatske, iskazan udjelom u BDP-u, trebao bi ove godine iznositi 2,3 posto i biti manji za 0,8 postotnih bodova no što je MMF procijenio u listopadu.

U 2020. godini manjak je iznosio 3,5 posto, čime je međunarodni zajmodavac povisio procjenu manjka iz listopada za 0,3 postotna boda.

Iduće godine manjak na tekućem računu platne bilance Hrvatske trebao bi se po njima trebao spustiti na 1,6 posto.

Stopa nezaposlenosti u Hrvatskoj iznosit će ove godine 9,4 posto i biti osjetno manja no što je MMF predvidio prošle jeseni, procijenivši je na 10,3 posto.

U 2020. godini iznosila je 9,2 posto, čime je MMF snizio procjenu od prošle jeseni za 0,1 postotni bod.

U 2022. trebala bi kliznuti na 9,0 posto.

Potrošačke cijene trebale bi ove godine u Hrvatskoj porasti 0,7 posto, procjenjuje MMF. Na kraju prošle godine prognizirali su da će porasti 0,8 posto.

U 2020. godini stopa inflacije iznosila je 0,3 posto, u skladu s procjenama iz listopada.

U 2022. MMF očekuje znatno ubrzanje rasta potrošačkih cijena u Hrvatskoj, na 1,2 posto.
 

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Tom Dubravec/Cropix
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Biznisšto nas očekuje?

MMF snizio procjenu rasta hrvatskog gospodarstva u 2021. godini, za 2022. imaju optimističnija predviđanja, ali i lošu vijest za potrošače

6. travnja 2021. - 15:05

Međunarodni monetarni fond (MMF) snizio je u utorak procjenu rasta hrvatskog gospodarstva u ovoj godini na 4,7 posto, a u 2022. godini očekuje ubrzanje gospodarske aktivnosti i povratak na pretpandemijsku razinu.

U 2020. godini hrvatsko je gospodarstvo smanjeno 9,0 posto, potvrdio je MMF u redovnim proljetnim prognozama za svjetsko gospodarstvo (WEO) procjenu od prošle jeseni.

U 2022. godini aktivnosti bi po njihovim izračunima trebale porasti 5,0 posto, što bi značilo da bi hrvatsko gospodarstvo do kraja 2022. trebalo premašiti pretpandemijsku razinu.

Hrvatska se novim MMF-ovim procjenama svrstala među europska gospodarstva u nastajanju koja bi trebala bilježiti najviše stope rasta u ovoj i idućoj godini.

Višu stopu rasta trebale bi u 2021. godini bilježiti samo Turska i Rumunjs...

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13. svibanj 2024 22:27