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[title] => Klimatolog iz NASA-e upozorava: Ovako nešto nije viđeno 40 godina, posljedice ćemo osjetiti u kolovozu
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Prošle godine Zemlja se zagrijala za oko 0,2 °C više nego što su klimatski modeli predviđali. Iako to možda ne izgleda puno, kada uzmete u obzir da je to mjera na cijelome planetu, to je onda poprilično zagrijavanje.
"Nijedna godina nije zbunila predviđajuće sposobnosti znanstvenika za klimu više od 2023. godine", piše klimatolog iz NASA-e Gavin Schmidt u članku za Nature, a prenosi Science Alert.
"Temperaturna anomalija iz 2023. došla je iz vedra neba, otkrivajući neviđen jaz u znanju, možda prvi put od prije oko 40 godina, kada su satelitski podaci počeli nuditi pogled na Zemljin klimatski sistem u realnom vremenu", piše Schmidt upozoravajući da ako se ova neobjašnjiva anomalija ne smiri do kolovoza, u skladu s prethodnim El Nino fluktuacijama, onda ćemo biti na nepoznatom terenu, prenosi N1.
---
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Postavljeno je nekoliko teorija za višak topline koja premašuje ono što se očekuje od El Nina i stope povećanja CO2. To uključuje smanjenje aerosola za površinsko hlađenje nakon promjena regulative 2020. godine; povećanje vodene pare koja zadržava toplinu od erupcije Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha‘apai 2022; i aktivnost u trenutnom solarnom ciklusu koja šalje više topline u našem smjeru.
Ali čak i kombinirano, sve ovo ne objašnjava uočenu dodatnu toplinu, tvrdi Schmidt.
Iznenađenje i za znanstvenike
Zabrinjavajuće je da nam nedostaje kritičan faktor u našem razumijevanju klimatskih sistema na Zemlji.
"To bi moglo implicirati da planet koji se zagrijava već mijenja način na koji klimatski sistem funkcionira, mnogo ranije nego što su znanstvenici očekivali", objašnjava Schmidt.
Ipak, iznenadni skok vrućine i dalje može biti kratkoročna anomalija ili slabost u podacima, priznaje Schmidt.
---
---
Dok istraživači ispituju i raspravljaju o brojevima, mi doživljavamo i svjedočimo vrlo stvarnim posljedicama viška topline svuda oko nas.
Tri četvrtine najvećeg sistema koraljnih grebena na svijetu, Velikog koraljnog grebena u Australiji, trenutno pati od visokog do ekstremnog nivoa ugroženosti. Životinje masovno umiru, a milijuni ljudi u Africi gladuju zbog klimatskih promjena, prenosi Nova.rs.
Ovo je samo početak. Neka mjesta već osjećaju zagrijavanje više od drugih.
Iako je važno razraditi ove potencijalno velike neizvjesnosti u modeliranju klime, veći prioritet je ostvarivanje značajnog napretka ka zaustavljanju emisija stakleničkih plinova koji pokreću najveći dio globalnog zagrijavanja, prenosi N1.
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[metadesc] => Klimatske promjene Autor: N1
Ako se ova neobjašnjiva anomalija ne smiri do kolovoza, onda ćemo biti na nepoznatom terenu, upozorava Gavin Schmidt, klimatolog iz NASA-e.
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title=Klimatolog iz NASA-e upozorava: Ovako nešto nije viđeno 40 godina, posljedice ćemo osjetiti u kolovozu
page_title=Klimatolog iz NASA-e upozorava: Ovako nešto nije viđeno 40 godina, posljedice ćemo osjetiti u kolovozu
[metakey] => klimatolog iz NASA-e , Gavin Schmidt, Klimatske promjene, visoke temperature, El Nino
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Temperaturna anomalija iz 2023. do\u0161la je iz vedra neba, mo\u017eda prvi put od prije oko 40 godina, ka\u017ee Gavin Schmidt, klimatolog iz NASA-e<\/p>","
NASA prati stanje s klimom<\/p>","
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Postavljeno je nekoliko teorija za višak topline koja premašuje ono što se očekuje od El Nina i stope povećanja CO2. Posljedice El Nina u Kolumbiji
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Prošle godine Zemlja se zagrijala za oko 0,2 °C više nego što su klimatski modeli predviđali. Iako to možda ne izgleda puno, kada uzmete u obzir da je to mjera na cijelome planetu, to je onda poprilično zagrijavanje.
"Nijedna godina nije zbunila predviđajuće sposobnosti znanstvenika za klimu više od 2023. godine", piše klimatolog iz NASA-e Gavin Schmidt u članku za Nature, a prenosi Science Alert.
"Temperaturna anomalija iz 2023. došla je iz vedra neba, otkrivajući neviđen jaz u znanju, možda prvi put od prije oko 40 godina, kada su satelitski podaci počeli nuditi pogled na Zemljin klimatski sistem u realnom vremenu", piše Schmidt upozoravajući da ako se ova neobjašnjiva anomalija ne smiri do kolovoza, u skladu s prethodnim El Nino fluktuacijama, onda ćemo biti na nepoznatom terenu, prenosi N1.
---
---
Postavljeno je nekoliko teorija za višak topline koja premašuje ono što se očekuje od El Nina i stope povećanja CO2. To uključuje smanjenje aerosola za površinsko hlađenje nakon promjena regulative 2020. godine; povećanje vodene pare koja zadržava toplinu od erupcije Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha‘apai 2022; i aktivnost u trenutnom solarnom ciklusu koja šalje više topline u našem smjeru.
Ali čak i kombinirano, sve ovo ne objašnjava uočenu dodatnu toplinu, tvrdi Schmidt.
Iznenađenje i za znanstvenike
Zabrinjavajuće je da nam nedostaje kritičan faktor u našem razumijevanju klimatskih sistema na Zemlji.
"To bi moglo implicirati da planet koji se zagrijava već mijenja način na koji klimatski sistem funkcionira, mnogo ranije nego što su znanstvenici očekivali", objašnjava Schmidt.
Ipak, iznenadni skok vrućine i dalje može biti kratkoročna anomalija ili slabost u podacima, priznaje Schmidt.
---
---
Dok istraživači ispituju i raspravljaju o brojevima, mi doživljavamo i svjedočimo vrlo stvarnim posljedicama viška topline svuda oko nas.
Tri četvrtine najvećeg sistema koraljnih grebena na svijetu, Velikog koraljnog grebena u Australiji, trenutno pati od visokog do ekstremnog nivoa ugroženosti. Životinje masovno umiru, a milijuni ljudi u Africi gladuju zbog klimatskih promjena, prenosi Nova.rs.
Ovo je samo početak. Neka mjesta već osjećaju zagrijavanje više od drugih.
Iako je važno razraditi ove potencijalno velike neizvjesnosti u modeliranju klime, veći prioritet je ostvarivanje značajnog napretka ka zaustavljanju emisija stakleničkih plinova koji pokreću najveći dio globalnog zagrijavanja, prenosi N1.
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Cristina Quicler/Afp
Temperaturna anomalija iz 2023. došla je iz vedra neba, možda prvi put od prije oko 40 godina, kaže Gavin Schmidt, klimatolog iz NASA-e
Afp
NASA prati stanje s klimom
Luis Acosta/Afp
Postavljeno je nekoliko teorija za višak topline koja premašuje ono što se očekuje od El Nina i stope povećanja CO2. Posljedice El Nina u Kolumbiji
Sarah Lai/Afp
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[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 32
[alias] => gallery_in_the_article
)
[31] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 95
[name] => Required views
[value] => 0
[type] => textfield
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 33
[alias] => required_views
)
[32] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 96
[name] => FullHD image
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 34
[alias] => fullhd_image
)
[33] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 97
[name] => City Select
[value] => (0)
[type] => select
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 35
[alias] => CitySelect
)
[34] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 98
[name] => Paid Article
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 36
[alias] => paid_article
)
[35] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 99
[name] => SD na licu mjesta
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 37
[alias] => SD_na_licu_mjesta
)
[36] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 100
[name] => Important article
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 38
[alias] => Important_article
)
)
18. svibanj 2024 05:19